Who is most likely to win the Super Bowl 2022?

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Check out the latest NFL championship odds for the 2022-23 campaign and get our expert’s analysis of the best teams leading the competition.

The Buffalo Bills (+650) are the current favorites to claim the Vince Lombardi trophy come next February, but the Tom Brady-led Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+750) aren’t far behind.

Rounding out the top five on the odds board are the Kansas City Chiefs (+900), Green Bay Packers (+1100), and reigning champions Los Angeles Rams (+1100).

2022-23 Super Bowl Winner Odds

Odds courtesy of BetMGM. Correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

TeamFutures Odds
Buffalo Bills+650
Tampa Bay Buccaneers+750
Kansas City Chiefs+900
Los Angeles Rams+1100
Green Bay Packers+1200
San Francisco 49ers+1400
Cleveland Browns+1800
Dallas Cowboys+1600
Denver Broncos+1600
Los Angeles Chargers+1600
Baltimore Ravens+2000
Cincinnati Bengals+2000
Arizona Cardinals+2500
Indianapolis Colts+2500
Tennessee Titans+3000
New Orleans Saints+3000
Las Vegas Raiders+3500
New England Patriots+3500
Minnesota Vikings+4000
Philadelphia Eagles+4000
Miami Dolphins+5000
Washington Commanders+5000
Pittsburgh Steelers+6600
Chicago Bears+8000
Seattle Seahawks+8000
Atlanta Falcons+10000
Carolina Panthers+10000
Jacksonville Jaguars+10000
New York Giants+10000
Detroit Lions+15000
New York Jets+15000
Houston Texans+25000

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Favorites to Win the Super Bowl

The Bills and Chiefs opened as consensus co-favorites to win the 2023 Super Bowl, but a strengthening of the AFC West and the loss of Tyreek Hill has seen the Chiefs drop from +750 to its current number of +1000.

In tandem, the Bills’ odds have shortened ever so slightly from +750 to +650, even though the 2022 AFC East champions haven’t made any notable offseason additions.

Who is most likely to win the Super Bowl 2022?
Patrick MahomesUSA TODAY Sports

Meanwhile, two teams — the Green Bay Packers and Tampa Bay Buccaneers — have entered the top-five of the futures board since the odds opened in February. Both movements are a result of those teams clarifying their quarterback situations, with Aaron Rodgers opting to stay in Green Bay and Tom Brady un-retiring after initially deciding to hang it up.

Before those respective announcements, the Packers opened with the seventh-shortest odds on the futures board at +1600, while the Bucs opened on the board with the 10th-shortest odds (+2200).

Those teams entering the top-five futures odds saw the San Francisco 49ers (+1400 at opening) and Dallas Cowboys (+1400 at opening) drop outside the top five.

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Latest 2022-23 Super Bowl Champion Betting News

Undoubtedly the biggest movers of the NFL offseason have been the Cleveland Browns after announcing a trade for former Texans quarterback Deshaun Watson. That saw the AFC North contender’s odds drop from +3000 to +1600.

On the other end of the transaction, the Texans kept the worst odds in the league but saw its odds fall from +15000 to +25000.

Another major transaction that impacted the futures odds board was Russell Wilson departing the Seahawks in favor of the Denver Broncos, which opened at +2000 to win next year’s Super Bowl. That saw the Seahawks’ odds drop dramatically from +3500 to its current number of +8000.

One other big mover was the Atlanta Falcons, which opted to trade QB Matt Ryan to the Indianapolis Colts. The Colts didn’t see its odds change as a result of the transaction, but the Falcons dropped from +5000 to +10000.